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US-Brazil Ethanol market struggles with falling prices due to trade barriers, high supply, and geopolitical uncertainty

US-Brazil Ethanol market struggles with falling prices due to trade barriers, high supply, and geopolitical uncertainty

Mar 13, 2025

Ethanol price in both the United States as well as Brazil fell in the first weeks of March. This was impacted by changing policies in trade, fluctuations in corn production, and other geopolitical factors. Global ethanol prices are affected by policy decisions, factors in the supply chain, and shifts in demand as trade tensions persist between major ethanol producing nations. Prices on the U.S. market for ethanol dropped due to policy uncertainty and increased production. The Environmental Protection Agency has delayed the expansion of sales of higher ethanol blended (E15) by one year in South Dakota and Ohio, creating uncertainty over demand growth. Fuel producers and retailers were planning to expand sales during the summer. The growing trade tensions also threatened exports to Canada, a market that is important. Canada...

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